the maximum utility is reached at the line level. We have seen that at Downs, the role of ideology is fundamental and that ideology could function as a kind of shortcut. They are voters who make the effort to inform themselves, to look at the proposals of the different parties and try to evaluate the different political offers. To study the expansion of due process rights. This is more related to the retrospective vote. Webmagnitude of changes between elections. 0000009473 00000 n
it takes a political position that evokes the idea of symbolic politics in a more salient way. WebThe three widely accepted behavioral models of voter choice are: the sociological model, the social-psychological model, and the rational choice model. The theoretical criticism consists in saying that in this psychosocial approach or in this vision that the psychosocial model has of the role of political issues, the evaluation of these issues is determined by political attitudes and partisan identification. The idea that one identifies oneself, that one has an attitude, an attachment to a party was certainly true some forty years ago and has become less and less true and also the explanatory power of this variable is less important today even if there are significant effects. These two proximity models are opposed to two other models that are called directional models with Matthews' simple directional model but especially Rabinowitz's directional model with intensity. There are other models and economic theories of the vote, including directional theories that have a different perspective but remain within the framework of economic theories of the vote. The influence of friends refers to opinion leaders and circles of friends. Webbehavior covers a large range of possible subjects of research, from the behaviors of bureaucrats and interest groups to the dealings of political terrorists. Expectedly, in their function So all these elements help to explain the vote and must be taken into account in order to explain the vote. His conclusion is that the vote is explained both by elements of leadership, partly by an element of proximity and distance, but also, for some parties, it must also be taken into account that there are parties that act according to a mobilization of the electorate according to the approach of Przeworski and Sprague. There may be a vote that is different from partisan identification, but in the medium to long term, partisan identification should strengthen. This identification with a party is inherited from the family emphasizing the role of primary socialization, it is reinforced over time including a reinforcement that is given by the very fact of voting for that party. Ideology is to be understood as a way of simplifying our world in relation to the problem of information. It is no longer a question of explaining "why" people participate but "how", that is, in terms of voter turnout, what choice is made and what can explain an electoral choice. This is called the proximity model. There was a whole series of critics who said that if it's something rational, there's a problem with the way democracy works. Fiorina proposed an alternative way to explain why voters vote for one party rather than another, or a different answer to how the position of different candidate parties can be assessed. The choice can be made according to different criteria, but they start from the assumption that there are these voters who arrive in an electoral process that refers to the idea of the hexogeneity of voters' preferences. Hirschman contrasts the "exit" strategy with the "voice" strategy, which is based on what he calls "loyalty", which is that one can choose not to leave but to make the organization change, to restore the balance between one's own aspirations and what the organization can offer. Stock Exchanges Publish Clawback Proposals As required by Rule 10D-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), the New York Stock The assumption is that mobilizing an electorate is done by taking clear positions and not a centrist position. and voters who choose to use euristic shortcuts to solve the information problem. The study of swing voters has its origins in the seminal works of the Columbia school of voting behavior (Berelson et al. Question 3. Studies have shown that, for example, outside the United States, a much larger proportion of voters who change their vote also change their partisan identification. In this approach, it is possible to say that the voter accepts the arguments of a certain party because he or she feels close to a party and not the opposite which would be what the economic model of the vote postulates, that is to say that we listen to what the party has to say and we will choose that party because we are convinced by what that party says. This model of directional proximity with intensity illustrates what is called symbolic politics which is related to the problem of information. The function of partisan identification is to allow the voter to face political information and to know which party to vote for. It's believed that the social class was the most accurate indicator of likely voting intention Often identified as School of Columbia, it focuses on the influences of social factors and voting. Regarding the causal ambiguity, there are also critics who say that this approach is very strongly correlational in the sense that it looks for correlations between certain social variables and electoral choices, but the approach does not explain why this variable approach really has a role and therefore what are the causal mechanisms that lead from insertion, positions, social predispositions to electoral choice. In a phase of alignment, this would be the psycho-sociological model, i.e. Prospective voting is the one that has been postulated by Downs and by all other researchers who work in proximity models but also in two-way models. Comparative Political Studies, 27(2), 155189. 135150. There is an opposite reasoning. Political parties can make choices that are not choices to maximize the electorate, unlike spatial theories, where parties seek to maximize their short-term electoral support in an election. WebA strong supporter of a party usually votes a straight party ticket. Today, this may be less true, but until a certain point, there were relatively few empirical analyses based on the economic model of the vote. This is called prospective voting because voters will listen to what the parties have to say and evaluate on the basis of that, that is, looking ahead. The voters have to make that assessment and then decide which one brings more income and which one we will vote for. Political conditions as well as the influence of the media play an important role, all the more so nowadays as more and more political campaigns and the role of the media overlap. It is the idea of when does one or the other of these different theories provide a better explanation according to periods of political alignment or misalignment. WebThe Columbia Studies The modern history of academic voting research began in 1940 at Columbia University, where a team of social scientists assembled by Paul Lazarsfeld The answer to this second question will allow us to differentiate between proximity models and directional models because these two subsets of the spatial theories of voting give diametrically opposite answers to this question. The heterogeneity of the electorate and voters must be taken into account. Voting represents an important aspect of public participation in a democratic system. Thus, voters find it easier to assess performance than declared plans during an election campaign. In other words, there is the idea of utility maximization which is a key concept in rational choice theory, so the voter wants to maximize his utility and his utility is calculated according to the ratio between the cost and the benefit that can be obtained from the action, in this case going to vote (1) and going to vote for that party rather than this one (2). Today, there is an attempt to combine the different explanations trying to take into account, both sociological determinants but also the emotional and affective component as well as the component related to choice and calculation. 2, 1957, pp. How was that measured? It is a small bridge between different explanations. The limitations are the explanation of partisan identification, which is that the model has been criticized because it explains or does not explain too much about where partisan identification comes from except to say that it is the result of primary socialization. Political parties that compete in elections often promote themselves through affirmative political concepts for the development of society. "i.e., if it is proximity, it is 'yes', otherwise it is 'no' and therefore directional; 'are the preferences of the actors exogenous? The idea is that there is something easier to evaluate which is the ideology of a party and that it is on the basis of this that the choice will be made. On the other hand, in rationalist approaches, shortcuts are cognitive shortcuts. For example, a strongly conservative voter who votes Democratic may vote Republican because he or she feels more in tune with the party. This theory is not about the formation of political preferences, they start from the idea that there are voters with certain political preferences and then these voters will look at what the offer is and will choose according to that offer. The country has A rather subjective and almost sentimental citizen is placed at the centre of the analysis. Rationalist theories and spatial models of the vote have had the very beneficial relationship of putting precisely the free choice of voters at the centre of analyses. Iversena proposed a way of classifying the different explanatory theories of voting that allow to add a very important element that has been neglected until now. Hinich and Munger take up the Downs idea but turn it around a bit. There is little room for context even though there are more recent developments that try to put the voter's freedom of choice in context. There is in fact the idea that the choices and preferences of voters in the centre will cause the parties, since they are aiming in this model, to try to maximize their electoral support. Voters calculate the cost of voting. The aspect is based on the idea that there is an information problem that represents a difficulty and costs that voters must pay to gather information and to become informed about an election. In the study of electoral behaviour, there is a simple distinction between what is called prospective voting and retrospective voting. In other words, there is a social type variable, a cultural type variable and a spatial type variable. WebVoting behavior pertains to the actions or inactions of citizens in respect of participating in the elections that take place for members of their local, regional, or national governments. What is partisan identification? Spatial theories of voting are nothing other than what we have seen so far with regard to the economic model of voting. The model integrates several schools of thought that have tried to explain voter behavior; it is tested by predicting the behavior of respondents based on the model, and then validating the results with the actual behavior of the respondents. Fiorina reverses the question, in fact, partisan identification can result from something else and it also produces electoral choices. Contenu disponible en Franais Contenido disponible en espaol Contenuto disponibile in italiano, The distinction between the three main explanatory models of voting is often found. According to them, it is necessary to combine different types of explanations and in particular, in the electoral choice, the components related to proximity, leadership, and also the rather "intensity" leadership, all of which play a significant role in the positioning of candidates and parties. In summary, it can be said that in the economic model of voting, the political preferences of voters on different issues, are clearly perceived by the voters themselves which is the idea that the voter must assess his own interest, he must clearly perceive what are the political preferences of voters. The importance of symbols lies in what arouses emotions. 0000001124 00000 n
The importance of symbolic politics is especially capitalized on by the intensity directional models. The second criterion is subjectivity, which is that voters calculate the costs and benefits of voting subjectively, so they make an assessment of the costs and benefits. Of course, there have been attempts to assess the explanatory power of directional models, but according to these researchers, these spatial models were designed to be purely theoretical in order to highlight on a purely theoretical level what motivations voters may have for their electoral choice. Voting is an instrument that serves us to achieve an objective. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Macmillan Education, 1987. These are some of the criticisms and limitations often made by proponents of other approaches. How to assess the position of different parties and candidates. voters who follow a systematic vote are voters who are willing to pay these information or information-related costs. HUr0c:*+ $ifrh
b98ih+I?v1q7q>. Yes, voted; no. The sociological model is somewhat the model that wants to emphasize this aspect. The theory of the economic model of the vote is also a model that allows predictions to be made about party behaviour. Voting requires voters to know the candidates' positions on issues, but when there are several candidates or several parties, it is not very easy for some voters in particular. WebThis model of voting behavior sees the voter as thinking individual who is able to take a view on political issues and votes accordingly. The idea is that the extremist attitudes of those former voters who become party activists push strategic positioning in a direction that takes them away from their constituents. Those with a lower sense of The psycho-sociological model says that it is because this inking allows identification with a party which in turn influences political attitudes and therefore predispositions with regard to a given object, with regard to the candidate or the party, and this is what ultimately influences the vote. Often, in the literature, the sociological and psycho-sociological model fall into the same category, with a kind of binary distinction between the theories that emphasize social, belonging and identification on the one hand, and then the rationalist and economic theories of the vote, which are the economic theories of the vote that focus instead on the role of political issues, choices and cost-benefit calculations. This is the median voter theory. The reference work is The Peoples Choice published in 1948 by Lazarsfeld, Berelson and Gaudet. We must assess the costs of going to the polls, of gathering the information needed to make a decision, but also the value of one's own participation, since the model is also supposed to explain voter turnout. This voting theory suggests that models of the vote choices of rational individuals should work with social rather than selsh utility functions. It is a variant of the simple proximity model which remains in the idea of proximity but which adds an element which makes it possible to explain certain voting behaviours which would not be explainable by other models. how does partisan identification develop? Otherwise, our usefulness as voters decreases as a party moves away, i.e. The vote is seen here as an instrument, that is to say, there is the idea of an instrumental vote and not an expressive one. Distance is understood in the sense of the proximity model for whom voter preference and party position is also important. According to Downs, based on the prospective assessment that voters make of the position that voters have and their position on various issues, voters arrive at and operate this shortcut by situating and bringing parties back to an ideological dimension that may be a left-right dimension but may also be another one. There are several reasons that the authors of these directional models cite to explain this choice of direction with intensity rather than a choice of proximity as proposed by Downs. The psycho-sociological model, also known as the Michigan model, can be represented graphically or schematically. 0000002253 00000 n
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For some, this model overestimates the capabilities that voters have. Here, preferences are endogenous and they can change. A unified theory of voting: directional and proximity spatial models. Since the idea is to calculate the costs and benefits of voting for one party rather than the other, therefore, each party brings us some utility income. As for the intensity model, they manage to perceive something more, that is to say, not only a direction but an intensity through which a political party defends certain positions and goes in certain political directions. Another model is called the funnel model of causality which has been proposed by these authors working on the psycho-sociological model. Thus, they were well suited not only to develop and test theories of voting There is a direct link between social position and voting. Voting for a party and continuing to vote for such a party repeatedly makes it possible to develop an identification with that party which, in a way, then reinforces the electoral choice. Often, in Anglo-Saxon literature, this model is referred to as the party identification model. Merrill, Samuel, and Bernard Grofman. In other words, they propose something quite ecumenical that combines directional and proximity models. The spatial theory of the vote postulates that the electoral choice is made in the maximization of individual utility. The idea is that you stay loyal and you do "voice", that is, act to make things change. In other words, if we know the partisan identification of voters, we can make a prediction about what the normal vote will be, which is a vote that is not or should not be influenced by other situational factors in a given electorate. The simple proximity model is that the voter will vote for the party or parties that are in the same direction. Beginning in the late 1980s and early 1990s, there has been a strong development of directional models. The initial formation of this model was very deterministic in wanting to focus on the role of social inclusion while neglecting other aspects, even though today there is increasingly a kind of ecumenical attempt to have an explanation that takes into account different aspects. The idea is that each voter can be represented by a point in a hypothetical space and this space can be a space with N dimensions and each dimension represents an election campaign issue, so that this point reflects his or her ideal set of policies, i.e. The explanatory factors and aspects highlighted by these different models are always taken into account. 43 0 obj
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A third criticism of the simple proximity model is the idea of the median voter, which is the idea that all voters group around the centre, so parties, based on this observation, will maximize their electoral support at the centre, and therefore if they are rational, parties will tend to be located more at the centre. This identification is seen as contributing to an individual's self-image. Survey findings on votersmotivations First, they summarize the literature that has been interested in explaining why voters vary or differ in the stability or strength of their partisan identification. Three notions must be distinguished: a phase of political alignment (1), which is when there is a strengthening of partisan loyalties, i.e. On the other hand, the political preferences are exogenous to the political process which is the fact that when the voter goes to vote which is the moment when he or she starts to think about this election, he or she already arrives with certain fixed or prefixed political preferences. In other words, this identification is part of the self-image one can have of oneself. 0
An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy. Journal of Political Economy, vol. Finally, there is an instrumental approach to information and voting. We talk about the electoral market in the media or the electoral supply. It can be defined as lasting feelings of attachment that individuals develop towards a certain party. WebVoting behavior pertains to the actions or inactions of citizens in respect of participating in the elections that take place for members of their local, regional, or national governments. Ideology can also be in relation to another dimension, for example between egalitarian and libertarian ideology. It is interesting to know that Lazarsfeld, when he began his studies with survey data, especially in an electoral district in New York State, was looking for something other than the role of social factors. To summarize these approaches, there are four possible answers to the question of how voters decide to vote. In the literature, we often talk about the economic theory of voting. Numbers abound, since we have seen that, in the end, both models systematically have a significant effect. Proximity can be calculated on the basis of the programmes and actual positions declared by the parties or on the basis of a discount factor, a perception factor or a difference factor according to the discount model. This is called retrospective voting, which means that we are not looking at what the parties said in their platforms, but rather at what the parties did before. WebTo study the expansion of voting rights. But a synthesis of traditions must be undertaken if further understanding of voting behavior is to build on earlier work. A distinction must be made between the affective vote of the psycho-sociological model and the cognitive vote of the theories of the economic model. Lazarsfeld was the first to study voting behaviour empirically with survey data, based on individual data, thus differentiating himself from early studies at the aggregate level of electoral geography. WebIn this perspective, voting is essentially a question of attachment, identity and loyalty to a party, whereas in the rationalist approach it is mainly a question of interest, cognition and Voters will vote for a party but that party is not necessarily the one with which they identify. There are other theories that highlight the impact of economic conditions and how voters compare different election results in their electoral choices, which refers to economic voting in the strict sense of the term. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. "The answer is "yes", as postulated by spatial theories, or "no", as stated by Przeworski and Sprague, for example. So, we are going to the extremes precisely because we are trying to mobilize an electorate. It is easier to look at what someone has done than to evaluate the promises they made. The second question is according to which criteria to determine the individual utility of voters. WebVoting Behavior. Mitt Romney's gonna lower their taxes, so they're gonna vote for them, and to be clear, it's not that everyone's behavior in what is commonly known as the Columbia school of thought, posited that contextual factors influence the development of political attitudes and p. 31). The voters choose the candidate whose positions will match their preferences. We have to be careful, because when we talk about political psychology, we include that, but we also include the role of cognitions and rationality. If that is true, then if there are two parties that are equally close to our preferences, then we cannot decide. In the psychological approach, the information problem is circumvented by the idea of the development of partisan identification, which is an emotional shortcut that voters operate. We see the kinship of this model with the sociological model explaining that often they are put together. The first one Is what we call the sociological model that was presented in the 1940s by a group of scholars from Columbia. But more generally, when there is a campaign, the issues are discussed. The behavior results either in support for political candidates or parties or abstention from the voting process. The psycho-sociological model is intended as a development that wants to respond to this criticism. startxref
Its University of Michigan authors, Angus Campbell, Philip E. 0000007835 00000 n
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